Today comes the second part about the DnB on big teams, let’s see now if betting on a dry victory in place of a DnB would be profitable.
Dry Victory Over BAYERN
Let’s take the example of Bayern Munich, which has been dominating the German league for a few years now. The conditions for the bet to be profitable is that Bayern wins their away matches against the other favorites since this is where the odds are highest in betting offers.
For 2017-2018, you are taking the principle of using one unit per bet. Bayern with 4 defeats and 3 draws already make you lose 7 units (draws are lost in a dry win and non-refunded).
That year Bayern, won at Schalke, Dortmund, Leverkusen, so big teams carrying the gain of the year to 9.5 units.
For 2016-2017. Bayern with 2 defeats and 7 draws is 9 lost. Also that year, the team did not manage to win its big games against the favorites, leaving you in a slight loss and making you lose the profits of the previous year.
For the following years, the bets oscillate between slight gain and slight losses and therefore makes this technique unprofitable for the German championship.
Victory Over JUVENTUS
Here I want to show you in 2011-2012 where Juventus do not lose any match but played 15 draws, so it’s 15 losses. A season so not at all profitable.
For 2017-2018, with 3 losses and 5 draws it is 8 lost. However, you win money, because that year, Juve wins against Inter (2.55), Milan (2), Napoli (3.75). So you make a profit of 2.5 units.
For 2016-2017, it’s 9 lost units with 5 losses and 4 draws. Except that that year, Juve lost to Inter, Milan and drew in Naples. So that year you lose all you have won the previous year unless you based only on free bets.
Victory Over PARIS SG
Well, it’ll be even worse for league 1, because the PSG is, even more, dominating its championship and the other teams much weaker. For the last year with 9 units in less (3D 6N), the PSG lost in Lyon, and even if it wins in Monaco, the coast is only 1.50 which is not much. So you lose money on that year in Ligue 1.